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Tuesday, January 31, 2012

The weak “climate change” hypothesis gets two more serious blows


More bad news for environmental alarmists came last week when 16 more well known and well respected scientists signed on to a Wall Street Journal article titled “No Need to Panic About Global Warming: There's no compelling scientific argument for drastic action to 'decarbonize' the world's economy,” adding their names to a large and growing list of scientists opposing manmade climate change dogma.

From the article:
In September, Nobel Prize-winning physicist Ivar Giaever, a supporter of President Obama in the last election, publicly resigned from the American Physical Society (APS) with a letter that begins: “I did not renew [my membership] because I cannot live with the [APS policy] statement: 'The evidence is incontrovertible: Global warming is occurring. If no mitigating actions are taken, significant disruptions in the Earth's physical and ecological systems, social systems, security and human health are likely to occur. We must reduce emissions of greenhouse gases beginning now.' In the APS it is OK to discuss whether the mass of the proton changes over time and how a multi-universe behaves, but the evidence of global warming is incontrovertible?"

Despite a long and arduous campaign to persuade the world that “greenhouse” gases and increasing amounts of carbon dioxide will destroy civilization, and in the face of heavy pressure from their colleagues to jump on that bandwagon, more and more scientists agree with Dr. Giaever that stubborn scientific facts argue against the alarmists’ position.

The climate change argument, originally called “manmade global warming” until that title fell into disrepute when recent years have been cooler rather than warmer, has suffered credibility problems in recent years. Perhaps frustrated that many people, including many scientists, did not get all sweaty over the idea that mankind is killing our world with pollution-causing fossil fuels and excessive bovine flatulence, the climate change alarmists resorted to data manipulation and outright fraud to promote their version of “The Sky is Falling.”

The idea that climate change endangers the environment benefits a special few, but it does great harm to many. Funding for research – totaling tens of billions of dollars over the last two decades – is aggressively sought after among researchers in academia and elsewhere. Indeed, without billions in research funding many professors would be forced back into classrooms all across the country, putting hundreds of graduate assistants and doctoral students out of work.

Misplaced fears of climate catastrophe have unleashed horrors on the populace, which as a result has been condemned to burn gasoline polluted with ethanol, the manufacture of which has diverted countless tons of corn out of the food chain, raising food prices, and to replace perfectly good incandescent light bulbs with something called CFLs, a replacement bulb that puts users at risk of mercury poisoning, and requires a HazMat team to dispose of the things. And it allows true believers like Barack Obama to throw away millions of taxpayer dollars on boondoggles like the Solyndra loan, and on ideologically pleasing, but expensive and inefficient hybrid autos, like the Chevy Volt.

An excellent summary of the current mania is contained in this statement by Dr. Richard Lindzen, an MIT Atmospheric Sciences professor, a member of the prestigious National Academy of Sciences, and also a former lead author of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. “Future generations will wonder in bemused amazement that the early twenty-first century’s developed world went into hysterical panic over a globally averaged temperature increase of a few tenths of a degree, and, on the basis of gross exaggerations of highly uncertain computer projections combined into implausible chains of inference, proceeded to contemplate a roll-back of the industrial age.” Dr. Lindzen is one of the 16 signatories to the  Journal article.

No doubt some readers will dispute the professor’s position—despite his experience, training and expertise—but that does nothing to lessen the impact of his words and the truth they represent.

Back in the summer of 2006, fully 74 percent of participants in a Pew Research poll thought global warming was a serious problem, while 24 percent thought it was not a serious problem. Last November those numbers were 65 percent and 33 percent, showing that despite the one-sided coverage of this argument, the people are turning away from global warming/climate change as a serious threat. The pro-climate change side lost 12 percent, while the anti-climate change faction gained 29 percent.

More interesting, however, is this from the Daily Mail of London online last weekend: “The supposed ‘consensus’ on man-made global warming is facing an inconvenient challenge after the release of new temperature data showing the planet has not warmed for the past 15 years. The figures suggest that we could even be heading for a mini ice age to rival the 70-year temperature drop that saw frost fairs held on the Thames in the 17th Century.”

A real crisis may be on the horizon. It is fair to wonder how these climate change scientists will react to this, a real episode of climate change, one that is not caused by humans. Maybe they will determine that we really need fossil fuels, after all, to combat global cooling.

Drill, baby, drill.

Comments are welcome



16 comments:

Anonymous said...

what a douchebag

Anonymous said...

Unlike Anonymous, I'll put my name on this comment.

This global warming crap is all about trying to control people, and using phony science to get it done.

It's about time some real scientists had their say.

Caz

Anonymous said...

i'm sure many of these "real scientists" also reject religion in favor of evolution and natural selection... I'd be willing to bet you wouldnt give them so much credit on this perspective...

James Shott said...

People really stick to their ideas, even when there isn't sufficient supporting evidence. They want it to be true so badly that they just can't accept the reality that it isn't true.

Religion vs creationism is another subject, one that is not under discussion here.

Anonymous said...

it seems scientific credibility is the issue at hand and its hard to accept one bit of science yet reject another... sort of like calling for less government regulation across the board, yet wanting to regulate a woman's right to choose... cant have it both ways... hypocrisy at its finest... par for the course..

James Shott said...

Bingo! Scientific credibility is the issue.

Science is supposedly an objective search for truth, and politically neutral.

No problem with a group of scientists saying humans are affecting the environment, and offering honest evidence to support that position.

But it's something entirely different when that group attempts to silence those who disagree, and worse yet when data is manipulated to try to make the case.

Anonymous said...

and in reading about Ivar Giaever, it seems he is not a climatologist but is rather a physicist... so he is a bit out of his arena... and in looking at further info, it seems his big problem is the position that the evidence is "incontrovertible" .. not that global warming isnt occurring but rather that, for him, the 'jury is still out' and any present conclusions cannot be deemed incontrovertible for right now...

it seems the rumor of global warmings demise have been greatly exaggerated...

James Shott said...

He is a physicist, and as a serious scientist he sees the fallacy of expressing the theory of anthropogenic global warming/climate change as anything more than a theory is "anti-scientific."

And that really is the whole issue. There isn't "incontrovertible" evidence, thus as you say, the jury is still out. That is the position the scientific community ought to maintain.

Unfortunately, the man-made global warming advocates have abandoned the necessary detachment, and have taken sides on the basis of "settled science," which, of course, is hogwash.

Dissent and disagreement are crucial to the advancement of knowledge, according to science philosopher Karl Popper. His position is that scientific theories can never be completely, finally verified, they can only be proved false, and that hopefully leads to the development of a newer, better theory.

There are dozens of problems with the AGW theory, certainly too many unexplained contradictions and remaining questions to support the radical changes the AGW folks advocate.

Anonymous said...

i still think the rapid rise of industrialism over the previous two centuries has certainly contributed to many of the scientific results and conclusions we see... things are only going to get worse as more and more countries industrialize and contribute to even higher levels of pollution throughout the atmosphere... the greenhouse effect is very real and will continue to worsen...

Anonymous said...

maybe your beloved physicist can explain this... coming from your beloved FoxNoise...

http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2012/02/01/jumanji-effect-extra-warm-winter-playing-havoc-with-hibernating-animals/#content

James Shott said...

Many people share your belief about the greenhouse effect.

Perhaps someday, some convincing evidence will arise.

Assuming fossil fuel burning actually produces enough pollutants to make a difference, other countries are far worse than the U.S. in producing them.

People concerned about this potential problem ought to focus on China, India and other countries that do not spend billions on measures to reduce pollution, as the U.S. does.

James Shott said...

RE: the Fox News story, why do you assume I "belove" FNC?

Apparently, you don't like FNC, but contrary to the implication of your statement, FNC put the story on its Web site. Fair and balanced?

I frankly am pleased to see a warmer, more stable winter than the last two, and I don't regard one-third of the recent winters being warmer than usual especially frightening.

Anonymous said...

youre right about the newer industrialzed countries... and i shutter to think about all of the lost fuel and energy over the previous centuries due to antiquated and outdated power plants and machinery... everyone should strive to be as efficient as possible with energy consumption, after all it is a finite resource... but there is no profit in renewable energy or else it would be widespread...but on a good note... China passed the US last year to become the #1 polluter on the planet... Go Go USA!

James Shott said...

At some point wind and solar may become efficient enough and affordable enough to begin to supplant fossil fuels, but as you said, they aren’t there yet, and it is a costly error in judgment to try to force the country to use more costly and less efficient energy just because some group of elites thinks we should.

It is interesting to note that as the U.S. tries to force cleaning up fossil fuel pollution by making it too costly to continue burning coal, meaning that a lot of coal burning plants will be shut down, coal companies are selling their surplus product to India and China -- which you noted are now the world’s worst polluters -- instead of having that coal burned here in plants that produce a fraction of the pollution of those in India and China. America forces cleaner air at home in return for dirtier air in other countries. Is that a net gain or a net loss for the world’s air?

Comment King said...

Smokey... did you see this one today? Not that surprising but it sounds like some of the skeptics may be getting paid...

http://openchannel.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/15/10415410-leaked-a-plan-to-teach-climate-change-skepticism-in-schools

James Shott said...

Both sides of the argument should be taught.

And, people on both sides of the argument likely get paid. We know how much money is out there to fund pro-climate change research.

What ever happened to searching for truth?