"It's official: 2012 was the warmest year ever recorded in the contiguous United States,” according to a statement by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), as reported by Scientific American.
"The
average temperature in the lower 48 states reached 55.3 degrees Fahrenheit,
shattering the previous record set in 1998 by a full degree," the story
continued, noting that government temperature records go back only to 1895.
NOAA
climate scientist Jake Crouch explained that "Climate change has had a
role in this," cautioning that it is still hard for scientists to know how
much of this year's warmer weather was caused by natural variability and how
much was caused by man-made climate change.
The
obvious question is, "how does the increased temperature in the US
extrapolate to Earth's global temperature?" Surprisingly, it doesn't.
According
to the UK Daily Mail, the world
stopped getting warmer almost 16 years ago, despite the US experience in 2012.
From the beginning of 1997 until August of last year there was no discernible
rise in aggregate global temperatures.
"This
means that the ‘plateau’ or ‘pause’ in global warming has now lasted for about
the same time as the previous period when temperatures rose, 1980 to 1996.
Before that, temperatures had been stable or declining for about 40
years," the British publication noted.
The
new data from the British Met Office was compiled from more than 3,000
measuring points on land and sea, showing that global warming has stalled. Met
officials say that by 2017, temperatures will not have risen significantly for
nearly 20 years, and admit that previous forecasts were inaccurate. "That
the global temperature standstill could continue to at least 2017 would mean a
20-year period of no statistically significant change in global
temperatures," according to Dr. David Whitehouse, science adviser to the Global
Warming Policy Foundation. "Such a period of no increase will pose
fundamental problems for climate models. If the latest Met Office prediction is
correct, then it will prove to be a lesson in humility" for supporters of
the anthropogenic global warming (AGW) theory.
Predictably,
not everyone has accepted this news. Dr. Richard Allan of the University of
Reading said: "Global warming is not 'at a standstill,' but does seem to
have slowed down since 2000, in comparison to the rapid warming of the world
since the 1970s." And Professor Phil Jones, director of the Climatic
Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, commented that 15 or 16 years
is too short a period from which to draw conclusions.
However,
supporting the view of skeptics of the AGW theory was Professor Judith Curry,
the head of the climate science department at Georgia Tech, who said it was
clear that the computer models used to predict future warming were "deeply
flawed."
Along
that same line of thinking is this from forbes.com: "Antarctic sea ice set
another record this past week, with the most amount of ice ever recorded on day
256 of the calendar year. ... The mainstream media frequently publish stories
focusing on ice loss in these two areas [West Antarctica and the Antarctic
Peninsula], yet the media stories rarely if ever mention that ice is
accumulating over the larger area of East Antarctica and that the continent as
a whole is gaining snow and ice mass."
You
may have heard or read that polar bear populations are threatened by ice loss,
but as the Forbes report showed, that is not the case in the Antarctic, and
perhaps not in the Arctic, either. While environmentalists and animal rights
advocates believe the polar bear is threatened, Alaska is fighting to keep them
off the endangered species list, arguing that populations are "at an
all-time high."
More
bad news for the AGW faction comes from German researchers using tree ring data
that is a key indicator of past climate. The study suggests Britain experienced
a lengthy period of hotter summers than today as far back as 2,000 years ago.
The
Earth has experienced warming and cooling periods throughout its history, and
is currently experiencing a broad period of warming. It has not been
satisfactorily proved that human activities have a significant impact on the
global climate, and these new inconvenient truths support the position of
skeptics who doubt the impact of human activity on the Earth's environment.
The
Daily Mail article labels the data
trumpeted by global warming advocates "flawed science," and explains
that it has had a substantial negative effect on energy bills. It says that in
response to the threat of manmade warming, subsidies paid to spur the renewable
energy industry will cause UK households to see an increase in energy bills,
and it predicts continuing increases.
In
the US the Obama administration's war on coal has cost thousands of jobs and
caused great pain in coal state economies, all because of policies based on the
theory that burning coal and other fossil fuels is wreaking havoc on the
environment. This idea is increasingly challenged by newer scientific data that
strongly contradicts the AGW theory.
What
we need in Washington is to replace ideological zeal with common sense policies
that do not cause more harm than good.
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